NFL Playoff Predictions and Week 17 Picks

Here's my playoff picture via http://espn.go.com/nfl/playoffs/machine and picks for the week 17 winners.  I went all home teams accept the Buccaneers, I figured that the Falcons don't have anything to lose or gain with this game so they might slack off and put in some bench players.  The other games that didn't matter I just picked the home teams.  Some of the other games, the home teams need wins to have playoff hopes.  I'm sort of thinking that Detroit should just lose to get a better draft pick, but I don't think they will just let a divisional opponent beat them down at home.  They could still lose, but I don't see them just giving the win away.  I think Seattle is in, win or lose, but since they are playing at the same time as the 49ers, they will be playing for the win, just in case the 49ers slip up and lose the game to lose the division.  Also I'm going with the Skins over the Cowboys because they are at home and because they are coming in to this game red hot, so I think they will continue that trend against a mistake happy Dallas team.  The Skins just need to stop the run and let Romo help them win.  Three rookie QBs with 10+ wins gotta make other teams reevaluate what they have.  Head are going to roll in the off season.

Very Angry NFL Coaches (#ReplacementRefs)

I found this great photo gallery on deadspin with some awesome shots of the coaches around the league yelling at the NFL's Replacement Refs.  Everyone is angry, even Obama.

Check out the orignal full post here. "32 Photos of 32 NFL Coaches Yelling at the Scab Refs"

Ken Whisenhunt, Arizona Cardinals

Mike Smith, Atlanta Falcons

John Harbaugh, Baltimore Ravens

Chan Gailey, Buffalo Bills

Ron Rivera, Carolina Panthers

Lovie Smith, Chicago Bears

Marvin Lewis, Cincinnati Bengals

Pat Shurmur, Cleveland Browns

Jason Garrett, Dallas Cowboys

John Fox, Denver Broncos

Jim Schwartz, Detroit Lions

Via.

Mike McCarthy, Green Bay Packers

Gary Kubiak, Houston Texans

Chuck Pagano, Indianapolis Colts

Mike Mularkey, Jacksonville Jaguars

Romeo Crennel, Kansas City Chiefs

Joe Philbin, Miami Dolphins

Leslie Frazier, Minnesota Vikings

Bill Belichick, New England Patriots

Aaron Kromer, New Orleans Saints

Tom Coughlin, New York Giants

Rex Ryan, New York Jets

Dennis Allen, Oakland Raiders

Andy Reid, Philadelphia Eagles

Mike Tomlin, Pittsburgh Steelers

Norv Turner, San Diego Chargers

Jim Harbaugh, San Francisco 49ers

Pete Carroll, Seattle Seahawks

Jeff Fisher, St. Louis Rams

Greg Schiano, Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Mike Munchak, Tennessee Titans

Mike Shanahan, Washington Redskins

Mike Sando's NFL MVP Watch as of Week 2

Before the season started I posted John Clayton's QB Rankings which I could say are very easy to agree with based on what we knew about the individuals.  In a similar list but definitely in a different order Mike Sando from ESPN has listed his MVP Watch based on the players that have been the most valuable to the success of their team after two weeks.  Its a bit early to crown anyone but its interesting to see some new names at the top of the list.  Below is his top 10, mainly QB's but one LB made the list.  It's good to finally see the 49ers #1 pick finally starting to pan out.  First time with the same Offensive Coordinator for more than one season, first time with multiple legit receiving weapons, and a Coach that is fully backing him.  Its amazing what a good supporting cast will do for a player with potential.

1. MATT RYAN 

Quarterback | Atlanta Falcons ... Next Game: 9/23 at SD ... Last Poll: 3

Ryan has set a quick early pace while leading the Falcons to a 2-0 record. He leads the NFL in Total QBR by a wide margin thanks to five passing touchdowns, one rushing touchdown, two sacks and zero turnovers. He has never finished a season with 30-plus scoring passes or a completion percentage higher than 62.5. His quick start and the Falcons' overall strength put Ryan in position to enjoy a career year both in production and team success.

2. ALEX SMITH 

Quarterback | San Francisco 49ers ... Next Game: 9/23 at MIN ... Last Poll: 7

Smith ranks second only to Ryan in success rate, defined by ESPN's analytics department as those producing gains in expected points. Like Ryan, Smith has zero turnovers through two games. Despite taking seven sacks, Smith ranks second only to Ryan in QBR among quarterbacks with enough attempts to qualify. He's at 81.9 out of 100 after finishing last season ranked 22nd at 45.8 (50 is average, suggesting the 49ers won largely for factors beyond QB production).

3. AARON RODGERS 

Quarterback | Green Bay Packers ... Next Game: 9/24 at SEA ... Last Poll: 2

All MVP Watch candidates are not created the same. Those with lesser career credentials must be producing at a high level to earn spots on the list. The few players with Rodgers' credentials get the benefit of the doubt in the absence of their usual production, especially early in the season. Rodgers has yet to get going, but he has also faced two rugged defenses. The trend continues when the Packers visit Seattle in Week 3. Rodgers' production should pick up against New Orleans (Week 4) and Indianapolis (Week 5) before a tough matchup at Houston (Week 6).

4. PHILIP RIVERS 

 Quarterback | San Diego Chargers ... Next Game: 9/23 vs. ATL ... Last Poll: NR

Rivers makes his 2012 debut on the list. He ranks second to Christian Ponder in completion percentage (73.8) and has led the Chargers to their first 2-0 start since the 2006 team won its final 10 games to finish 14-2. A home game against Ryan's Falcons provides Rivers with a stage to prove he belongs on this list, and possibly higher than fourth. Trips to Kansas City and New Orleans await from there, part of a road schedule that appears manageable for Rivers and San Diego.

 

5. ELI MANNING  

Quarterback | New York Giants ... Next Game: 9/20 at CAR ... Last Poll: NR

A stunning 510-yard passing performance returns Manning to the list after a week away. Check out this note from ESPN Stats & Information: "Since the start of 2011, Manning is 18-of-28 (64.3 percent) with eight touchdowns and no interceptions in the fourth quarter on throws more than 20 yards downfield. In the first three quarters, Manning is 25-of-70 (35.7 percent) with four touchdowns and four interceptions on such throws." What we're saying, pretty much, is that Manning is clutch.

6. TOM BRADY  

Quarterback | New England Patriots ... Next Game: 9/23 at BAL ... Last Poll: 1

Brady had a tough time solving Arizona's defense and now he must adjust to life without injured tight end Aaron Hernandez. He ranks only 23rd in Total QBR to this point. A trip to Baltimore in Week 3 wouldn't seem to help. Brady has seven picks in his past three games against the Ravens, counting the playoffs. He took four sacks against the Cardinals. That was his total through Week 4 last season. New England has three of its next four on the road.

7. CAM NEWTON 

Quarterback | Carolina Panthers ... Next Game: 9/20 vs. NYG ... Last Poll: NR

This spot feels a little high for Newton based on his production to this point and the Panthers' 1-1 record. Let's check back in a week to see how well he fared in his first career matchup against the Giants. The game is at Carolina, which should help. Newton was a 60 percent passer last season. He's closer to 70 percent through two games.

8. CLAY MATTHEWS 

Linebacker | Green Bay Packers ... Next Game: 9/24 at SEA ... Last Poll: NR

Matthews becomes the first defensive player to appear on the MVP Watch list this season. No defensive player has won The Associated Press version of the award since Lawrence Taylor a quarter century ago. The trend isn't going to change, most likely, in this era of increased pass production. But with 3.5 sacks against the Bears and six through two games, he has stood out. From the Elias Sports Bureau: "Since sacks became an official stat in 1982, Matthews is just the sixth player to have at least six sacks in his team's first two games and the only player to do it twice."

9. ROBERT GRIFFIN III 

Quarterback | Washington Redskins ... Next Game: 9/23 vs. CIN ... Last Poll: 5

It's looking like Griffin will have to carry more of the Redskins' weight after the team suffered devastating injuries on defense during its 31-28 defeat at St. Louis. He appears capable of handling the added pressure. The Redskins have put up 68 points through two games, both on the road. They play three of their next four at home. From Elias: Griffin joins Newton and Jake Delhomme as the only quarterbacks since 1970 with three passing touchdowns and two rushing touchdowns over his first two career games.

10. BEN ROETHLISBERGER 

Quarterback | Pittsburgh Steelers ... Next Game: 9/23 at OAK ... Last Poll: NR

The running game hasn't gotten much going for Pittsburgh to this point. Only two teams are averaging fewer yards per carry than the Steelers are averaging. From ESPN Stats & Information: Roethlisberger's third-down production this season leaves him ranked first or second in passing yards, passing first downs, passing touchdowns, completion percentage and QBR. Roethlisberger has completed 19 of 25 third-down passes for 251 yards and three scores with no picks.